Math and Theory

Order-polynomial positivity for width-two posets with a chain of at most five elements

Problem and result

Problem
Ferroni–Morales–Panova conjecture on positivity of order polynomials of width-two posets
Posed in
Ferroni, Morales and Panova, Skew shapes, Ehrhart positivity and beyond, arXiv:2503.16403v3, Conjecture 7.1; Proceedings of the London Mathematical Society 133 (2026), e70204
Status
Partially resolved
Result
If a finite poset P is the union of two chains, one with at most five elements and the other arbitrary, then |P|! Ω_P(t) has nonnegative coefficients, and [t]Ω_P(t) ≥ (a − 1)!(b − 1)! m/(a + b)!.

Abstract

For every finite poset P that is the union of two chains A and B with |A| ≤ 5, the chain B being arbitrarily long and the comparabilities between the chains arbitrary, every coefficient of |P|! Ω_P(t) is a nonnegative integer, where Ω_P is the order polynomial; this is a case of Conjecture 7.1 of Ferroni, Morales and Panova. The linear coefficient is at least (a − 1)!(b − 1)! m/(a + b)!, with m the number of elements of B comparable with some element of A, so it is positive exactly when the comparability graph is connected. The proof reduces the linear coefficient on each of 64 chambers to a polynomial in the gaps between boundaries, certified nonnegative by exact square certificates and 194,112 point identities, and lifts it to all coefficients by the ideal–filter reduction of Ferroni, Morales and Panova.

Details

Year
2026
Discipline
Mathematics
Area
Integer sequences and combinatorics
Subject
Integer sequences and combinatorics
Result type
Partial resolution of a conjecture for an infinite family, with exact certificates and reproducible proof package
Formal proof
Standalone Lean package
Family
width-two-order-polynomial
Keywords
order polynomial, width-two posets, Ferroni–Morales–Panova conjecture, Ehrhart positivity, order polytope, non-nesting rook placements, sum-of-squares certificate, posets

Statement and scope

Formal scope. Lean 4.35.0 checks the chamber certificates for a short chain of size at most four: for each of the 22 chambers the kernel (decide +kernel, no native_decide) verifies that squares and a nonnegative remainder add up exactly to the certified gap polynomial, and Lean proves that each such polynomial is nonnegative on the closed orthant of any linearly ordered field and dominates (a − 1)! times the sum of the comparable gaps, and that the chambers are exactly the Dyck words. The identification of the gap polynomials with the linear coefficient of the order polynomial (descent–rook correspondence, degree bound, determining set and point identities), the 42 chambers for a = 5 and the reduction to the linear coefficient have conventional proofs or certificates checked by an independent standard-library program.

Lean 4.35.0 checks the square certificates and proves nonnegativity and the linear lower bound for the 22 chamber polynomials with a short chain of size at most four. The link between the chamber polynomials and the order polynomial, the size-five chambers and the reduction to the linear coefficient have conventional proofs or certificates checked by an independent program.

A Lean check establishes only the formal statement that is checked. It does not establish novelty, historical priority or a faithful transcription of an external source. Known gaps are listed in UNFINISHED.md; the authorship disclosure describes how the results were produced.

Manuscript

PDF on this site
manuscript.pdf 310 KB
PDF on GitHub
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/manuscript.pdf
LaTeX source
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/manuscript.tex

Formal proof

This result has a standalone Lean 4 package, separate from the shared library. Build it with the toolchain and instructions given in its README.

Proof package
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/
Lean project
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/lean/ 5 Lean files
Lakefile
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/lean/lakefile.toml
Toolchain
leanprover/lean4:v4.35.0
Library roots

Reproduce

The commands below are quoted from papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/VERIFICATION.md, which gives their context and working directory.

Certificates

python3 certificate/check_certificates.py --extra 3 --json certificate-check.json

Lean

bash scripts/verify.sh /tmp/width-two-verification
README
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/README.md
Verification guide
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/verification/README.md
Verification record
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/VERIFICATION.md
Authorship
papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/AUTHORSHIP.md
Repository guide
verification/README.md
Unfinished proofs
UNFINISHED.md

Source and prior work

Prior work. Ferroni, Morales and Panova, arXiv:2503.16403v3, Conjecture 7.1. · Alexandersson and Jal, arXiv:2410.00127v3. Public partial results on the same conjecture, for ordinal sums of one- and two-element antichains (10m-u/open-problems-catalog) and for single cross-link factors (chris-hadad/lr-stretching-results), cover classes that neither contain nor are contained in this one.

Source. Ferroni, Morales and Panova posed the conjecture and proved the reduction to the linear coefficient (Skew shapes, Ehrhart positivity and beyond, arXiv:2503.16403v3, Conjecture 7.1, Theorem 3.4; Proc. London Math. Soc. 2026). The descent–rook correspondence is due to Alexandersson and Jal. Public partial results on the same conjecture (ordinal sums of one- and two-element antichains; single cross-link factors) are credited in the manuscript; neither class contains the other. Historical priority is not certified.

Questions and answers

What does the Ferroni–Morales–Panova conjecture say?

Conjecture 7.1 of Ferroni, Morales and Panova states that for every finite poset P of width at most two, |P|! times the order polynomial Ω_P(t), which counts weakly order-preserving maps to {1, …, m} at t = m, has nonnegative coefficients in the monomial basis. They reported computer checks when both chains of a two-chain cover have at most five elements.

What is proved here?

The conjecture holds whenever P is the union of two chains one of which has at most five elements; the other chain may be arbitrarily long and the comparabilities between the chains are arbitrary. The linear coefficient is at least (a − 1)!(b − 1)! m/(a + b)!, so it is positive exactly when the comparability graph is connected. The unrestricted conjecture remains open. Public partial results on ordinal sums of one- and two-element antichains and on single cross-link factors cover different classes.

Is the result formally verified?

Partly. Lean 4 checks the square certificates and proves nonnegativity of the chamber polynomials for a short chain of size at most four. The link between these polynomials and the order polynomial, the size-five chambers and the reduction to the linear coefficient have conventional proofs or certificates checked by an independent program.

Cite

Citation file papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial/CITATION.bib. For the whole collection, use CITATION.cff or CITATION.bib.

@misc{goyal2026widthtwoorderpolynomial,
  author = {Goyal, Dev D.},
  title = {Order-Polynomial Positivity for Width-Two Posets with a Chain of at Most Five Elements},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  note = {Preprint. Fully autonomous agentic research; publication responsibility: Dev D. Goyal},
  url = {https://github.com/dvgyl/math-and-theory/tree/main/papers/mathematics/width-two-order-polynomial}
}

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